Friday, 6 October 2023

The warmest September on record globally


September 2023 brought heat waves, heavy rainfall, and the first named storm of the season, Storm Agnes. Even though the EU's Copernicus has revealed that globally September was the warmest on record, it did not prove to be that in Mayo. It was the same in Newport as in 2021, but there are no data for 2022. It was considerably higher than the long-term average, which I am sure contributed to a boost in sugar content towards the end of the ripening, allowing us to harvest before the storms hit. 

I wrote the following for the OCC website:

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2023 is on track to become a record-breaking year with the global mean temperature to date at 0.52 degrees Celsius higher than average, says the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service.

Last month was the warmest September on record globally, reaching 0.93°C above the average temperature for the same month in the period 1991-2020. The month as a whole was around 1.75°C warmer than the September average for 1850-1900, the preindustrial reference period. The global mean temperature in September was the most atypical warm month of any year in the ERA5 dataset, which dates back to 1940. 

Copernicus calculated the average temperature for September was 16.38°C which broke the record set in September 2020 by a whopping half-degree Celsius. This is the warmest margin above average for a month in 83 years of records kept by the Copernicus Climate Change Service

The hot temperatures were chiefly driven by persistent and unusual warmth in the world's oceans, which didn't cool off as much in September as normal and have been breaking records since spring. The average sea surface temperature for September over 60°S–60°N reached 20.92C, which is the highest on record for September and the second highest across all months, behind August 2023.

Antarctic sea ice extent remained at a record low level for the time of year. Both the daily and monthly extents reached their lowest annual maxima in the satellite record in September, with the monthly extent 9% below average. The daily Arctic sea ice extent reached its 6th lowest annual minimum while the monthly sea ice extent ranked 5th lowest, at 18% below average.

According to Samantha Burgess, Deputy Director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S): "The unprecedented temperatures for the time of year observed in September - following a record summer - have broken records by an extraordinary amount. This extreme month has pushed 2023 into the dubious honour of first place - on track to be the warmest year and around 1.4°C above preindustrial average temperatures. Two months out from COP28 – the sense of urgency for ambitious climate action has never been more critical.”

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Monthly values for NEWPORT up to 05-oct-2023

Total rainfall in millimetres for NEWPORT

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
2023183.291.6188.4121.148.577.9206.8139.8142.426.11225.8
202298.8260.467.884.0107.0148.059.2104.197.3233.9187.5154.61602.6
2021225.6147.6141.145.6113.564.159.7155.6137.0265.7183.3186.61725.4
2020139.5342.8178.225.554.7164.5187.9137.9153.4228.0206.6232.72051.7
LTA166.7126.5141.296.894.789.7100.9132.5131.5176.0170.4180.21607.1

Mean temperature in degrees Celsius for NEWPORT

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
20236.68.07.69.913.317.414.915.815.214.412.1
20227.27.18.09.912.613.815.916.2n/a12.29.45.210.7
20215.06.77.99.010.413.317.516.415.211.99.37.610.9
20207.26.06.611.012.813.814.416.013.810.59.16.110.6
LTA6.16.17.39.011.513.815.415.413.510.88.36.510.3

Mean 10cm soil temperature for NEWPORT at 0900 UTC

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
20235.26.86.69.113.718.616.316.314.7n/a12.0
20226.26.26.39.313.214.816.816.6n/a11.58.44.410.4
20213.65.06.88.210.914.317.916.315.211.38.66.610.4
20205.74.75.49.713.014.814.916.313.79.58.05.110.1
LTAn/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a

Global Solar Radiation in Joules/cm2 for NEWPORT

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
2023624510639214293727755732584734179736857293383819301606
2022631110756333994055551569472464843951169n/a1598878696167319468
2021662013347203704569455690454884945540490224131635872353780326940
2020626310808245454619258476435374021540555255581848763195209326164
LTAn/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a

Potential Evapotranspiration (mm) for NEWPORT

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
202314.320.933.056.483.3100.670.164.450.15.9499.0
202213.723.047.260.677.776.080.482.0n/a27.217.29.2514.2
20217.622.930.762.976.370.787.867.538.325.114.114.6518.5
202017.621.935.070.291.672.966.266.442.728.113.610.4536.6
LTAn/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a

Evaporation (mm) for NEWPORT

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
202318.828.247.681.6118.2137.199.589.167.88.4696.3
202217.932.466.586.8114.5109.2111.1113.2n/a37.022.011.4722.0
202110.932.145.489.9111.2102.0117.293.552.134.718.619.1726.7
202022.431.951.898.9130.8104.894.392.759.138.818.113.6757.2
LTAn/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a

Degree Days Below 15.5 Degree Celsius for NEWPORT

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20232752102461718518392653N/AN/AN/AN/A
202225623423517197633028N/A103185320N/A
2021325247236200167792023401141872451883
2020257276275143111735531711561932911935

Notes on the Data

Evaporation and PE data are calculated using Penman/Monteith formulae.
The ‘LTA’ (referred to within a table) is average for the climatological long-term-average (LTA) reference period 1981-2010.
Data updated daily at Mid-day.

September Weather Statement from Met Eireann

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